Late last winter, the Taliban have made an agreement with the USA to halt the violence in Afghanistan and start exchanging prisoners of war with the Afghan Government. Allegedly, the Taliban got from the US delegation the promise that the Afghan Government would release about 5.000 Taliban prisoners, but apparently that did not happened … at least not on the scale and time line the Taliban expected.
Meanwhile, time went by and spring has arrived, and the situation was not solved. We do not need a “Chrystal Ball”, to assess what’s next:
Question: What does normally occurs in Afghanistan in spring time?
Answer – Two things happen (very much correlated): It is Sowing time for Opium Poppies; and the Taliban fighting campaign starts.
Not being able to comply with the promised development with the Taliban, together with the seasonal traditions in Afghanistan can only have an outcome – According to Al Jazeera news channel – the Taliban in the past few weeks have made over 70 attacks per day to the Afghan Government facilities.
The numbers of civilian casualties (CIVCAS) in this conflict are the dramatic aspect of it. 2020 starts with 1.293 CIVCAS, of which 533 died (including 152 children) and 760 were wounded.
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